Betting Strategies

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Betting Strategies – Bet Pickers

All the strategies are based on statistics.
The target is to win the number of bets needed, depending on the strategy we follow.
And the choices we make give us the result.

What do we mean?

The odds a bookmaker gives, for example for the home win of a team, is relevant to the possibilities of the win to be achieved.
You will see below a table of over-under statistics depending on the odds.
Odds under-over Games % under % over

1.40-2.20

452

62.6 %

37.4 %

1.45-2.00
90
65.6 %
34.4 %
1.45-2.10
952
62.6 %
37.4 %
1.50-1.90
272
61.4 %
38.6 %
1.50-2.00
1445
58.3 %
41.7 %
1.50-2.05
57
64.9 %
35.1 %
1.53-1.95
101
50.5 %
49.5 %
1.55-1.85
341
52.5 %
47.5 %
1.55-1.90
1327
55.8 %
44.2 %
1.55-1.93
464
56.9 %
43.1 %
1.55-1.95
929
56.9 %
43.1 %
1.55-2.00
70
55.7 %
44.3 %
1.57-1.90
395
60.3 %
39.7 %
1.95-1.55
774
47.4 %
52.6 %
2.00-1.45
75
41.3 %
58.7 %
2.00-1.50
1415
46.5 %
53.5 %
2.10-1.40
68
26.5 %
73.5 %
2.10-1.45
1088
42.4 %
57.6 %
2.20-1.40
616
39.1 %
60.9 %
2.30-1.35
211
35.5 %
64.5 %
2.35-1.35
121
38.8 %
61.2 %
2.50-1.30
141
33.3 %
66.7 %

You understand that  low under or low over given odds, succeed in a much better percentage. For example, under of 1.45 succeed almost 63%, under of 1.55 succeed almost average 56%, over of 1.50 succeed 54%, over of 1.40 succeed almost average 62% etc.

All these succeed bets tell us that if you bet 100 times you may win from 54 to 63 of them if you choose odds like that. We all know that if you make flat betting, -just bet a specific amount of money to each bet- you will lose your money.

But if you follow some strategies to take advantage of the number of wins you make – more than the losses- then you will learn how to make profit.

So, we just wait for the possibilities to verify our choices.

And why over – under?

Some leagues and some teams are made for playing football we all want. For example, some teams in Holland Eredivisie play to score as many goals as they can. Is their philosophy. If a team knows how to score, then scores. If a team knows how to keep a result, then always try to keep it. This is what they know to do.

This rule helps to raise the percentage of success that the odds by themselves try to verify.

If I can play 100 games and win 60 of them, then I have a profit for sure.

Explore the betting strategies to learn how.

Standard Profit – Betting Strategy

This is a strategy which promise a standard profit for each bet. No matter what happens, you expect a standard unit after a specific percentage of wins.

All the strategies are based on statistics.

To follow this strategy, we need a win rate of 50+ % of the total number of bets.
So we have to choose odds that in the long run give us more than 50% success.
I propose to bet on sports over-under between 1.40 – 1.70 at most, unless the possibilities of the result are better and also giving a high odd more than 1.70.
Let’s build a random scenario which will give us at the end a 50% success.
We start with 200$.
We choose the unit we want to earn per winning bet. Let’s say we want 5$ per bet.
Depending our choice, the odd is different. Let’s assume that is stable and an average 1.57.
1. We open the built-in calculator and fill the boxes.
Betting Manager Calculator - Betting Strategies - Bet Pickers

Betting Manager Calculator

We bet 8.77$.

We lose. Now we have 200$ – 8.77$ = 191.23$ 
 
2. We open the built-in calculator again and fill the boxes including our previous losts.
Betting Manager Calculator - Betting Strategies - Bet Pickers

Betting Manager Calculator

We bet 24.16$.
We win. 37.93$. Real profit 37.93$ – 24,16$ = 13.77$ Now we have 191.23$ + 13.77$ = 205$
As you see with 50% success we earn our first target and all the previous losts.
Using the built-in calculator of Betting Manager application, we follow the next step by step bets.
Now we start from the beginning.
We bet 8.77$
1.    Win    5$    Account : 210$
Now we start from the beginning again.
We bet 8.77$
1.     Lose    8.77$    Account : 201.23$
We write our losts.   8.77$.     Calculate the next.
We bet 24.16$
2.    Lose    24,16$   Account : 177.07$
We write besides our new losts   8.77$    24.16$
Now we lost twice. But in the next calculation we will not include all the previous losts. Just the previous one.(24.16$)  
That is because our bets are going to become too high and we don’t want to raise the risk. 
Betting Manager Calculator - Betting Strategies - Bet Pickers

Betting Manager Calculator

We bet 51.16$.
3.    We win.    80.32$. Real profit 80.32 – 51.16 =  29.16$. Previous 24.16$ + our unit 5$.
Now we have 177.07$ + 29.16$  =  206.23$
We erase the last losts     8.77$    24.16$
Calculate the next, including the losts we didn’t win back. (8.77$)
We bet 24.16$
4.    Lose    24.16$    Account :  182.07$
We write besides our new losts   8.77$    24.16$
Calculate the next, including only the last losts. (24.16$) 
We bet 51.16$
5.    We win.    80.32$. Real profit 29.16$. 
Now we have 182.07$ + 29.16$ = 211.23$
We erase the last losts     8.77$    24.16$
Calculate the next, including the losts that left. (8.77$)
We bet 24.16$
6.    We win.    37.93$. Real profit 13.77$. Now we have 211.23$ + 13.77$ = 225$
We erase the last losts     8.77$
And we start from the beginning.
You see that in the previous 6 bets we had 50% success.
But we won every unit of 5$ per winning bet and we took back all our previous losts.
Depending on your account, you choose your unit per winning bet.
Remember that you may have better win percentage than 50%. 
These odds that verify the possibilities by themselves, will help you to succeed.
Betting Manager will help you to split your account and manage with discipline.
You may have a losing streak. 
If you work only with the available bank, you will safe the most part of your account.
Learn how Betting Manager works here.
Tip: If you have a losing streak and the stake become too high, split your losts into parts and try to win the parts. 
This is going to lower the stakes. 
For example : We write besides our new losts   8.77$    24.16$
You can make it    8.77$    8.06$    8.06$    8.04$
Now try to take back the last lost (8.04)
You will also have a winning streak too. 
Remember that the statistics and the possibilities work for you.

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